CORE 01 | DECISION INSIGHT — Unraveling the Customer Selection Mechanism (CMM Analysis Consulting)

Unravel the reasons for being chosen and design a winning strategy.
-- CMM (Consumer Mix Modeling)

Problem — Recurring issues in the field

We are listening to the "voice of the consumer."
Still, why aren't there any results?

Product planning and brand management

Customers' true feelings and purchasing motivations are not visible.

We incorporated the elements that were most frequently requested in our survey. But when we launched it, it didn't sell. There was a contradiction between what customers said in interviews and their actual actions, and we failed to grasp the purchasing motivations that customers themselves couldn't articulate.

Marketing Manager

Hypotheses can be formed, but they cannot be substantiated.

When a plan is decided upon, there's no way to explain why it's better than the others. The decision is based on experience and intuition alone. While awareness is reported to have increased, there's no explanation for how that translates to increased sales.

Advertising and Creative

Judgments of good and bad vary from person to person.

Works are submitted without a clear standard for what constitutes "good." No one's definition of "good" is necessarily wrong. That's precisely why progress is made without a decisive factor.

It's not that there isn't enough data. The data isn't in a format that allows for answers.

I have the survey data and reports at hand. Yet, I still can't grasp "why it sold" or "what factors drove the purchase." When a project approved based on research fails to deliver results, the blame falls not on the research, but on the person who made the decision. It becomes even harder to get the next project approved.

Solution

We will use statistics to explain "why it was chosen."
Quantifying customers' true feelings and identifying the next step to increase sales

COMPASS is an analytical consulting service that uses its unique CMM (Consumer Mix Modeling) analysis to unravel the mechanisms behind consumer brand selection. It analyzes the impact of the 4Ps of marketing, CX, and brand assets on consumer purchasing behavior. Rather than simply aggregating data, it uses statistical analysis to calculate the probability of switching from competitors or increasing customer loyalty.

Visualizing customers' "unconscious" purchasing motivations.

High scores do not necessarily lead to purchases. COMPASS quantifies which factors have the greatest impact on brand selection (purchase).

Identify the "who, what, and where" of your strategy

We derive winning patterns by combining target attributes (Who), the message to be conveyed (What), and the optimal touchpoint (Where).

From "intuitive discussions" to "data-driven agreements"

Objective evidence based on statistical models becomes the "common language" in internal meetings and agent briefings, enabling quick decision-making and reliable execution.

Analysis to elucidate the mechanism of consumer brand choice

*Part of the COMPASS technology is currently under patent application.

Features

Two analytical approaches to choose from depending on the issue

"Reasons for being chosen" and "Reasons for being continuously chosen"—we support strategy formulation with two approaches tailored to your objectives.

Brand Switch Analysis Icon

Analysis of the mechanism of "brand choice" among competitors:
Brand Switch Analysis

Identify the key factors that will persuade customers to switch from your competitors' products to your brand.

Analysis Perspective

Analyze which elements of each competitor need to be strengthened to maximize the likelihood of switching to your company

Suggestions gained

It is possible to perform simulations such as "If the score is increased by one point, the market share will increase by a certain percentage," and to derive specific measures to seize market share.

Loyalty Driver Analysis Icon

Analysis of your company's "loyalty" mechanism:
Loyalty Driver Analysis

We will develop "light users" into "medium/heavy users" and clarify the loyalty factors to prevent them from leaving.

Analysis Perspective

Analyze not only behavior but also what forms the psychological loyalty behind it

Suggestions gained

It is possible to conduct simulations such as "What percentage of customers will become loyal if the score is increased by one point?", and to design measures to improve LTV.

Identify your selling points to beat your competitors. Use analysis to guide your next move. Learn data-driven strategies to increase your chances of expanding your market share.
Used Whitepaper

Identify your selling points to beat your competitors
- Data-driven strategy that connects analysis to the next step

Addressing the challenge of "competitive analysis not leading to action," this presentation explains a methodology for identifying winning "selling points" based on data. It will cover how to calculate the probability of consumers switching from competitors (switch rate) and how to develop strategies to maximize return on investment. A practical framework will be presented, including examples from consumer goods manufacturers.

Download
Difference — Differences from conventional surveys

Common pitfalls with traditional surveys

The traditional image of online surveys

In general surveys, a higher score than the average or competitors is considered a good score, but this does not necessarily mean that the brand will be chosen more often.

Although it provides an understanding of the current situation for each item's score, it is often difficult to translate it into actionable information, such as the impact of improvement or predictions based on that information.

Even if the degree of impact is considered using a statistical approach, it is difficult to take into account the heterogeneity of respondents, and the results tend to be weak as suggestions for specific actions.

How It Works — Process

CMM Consulting Process and Analysis Flow

From hypothesis design to simulation, data scientists and consultants will work alongside you, verifying each step along the way to guide you towards results.

Strategic planning and hypothesis discussion

We clearly define our target audience and segments, and determine which groups to approach. After organizing our current marketing situation and challenges, including competitor market share and our own customer loyalty levels, we design our analysis strategy.

Data acquisition and analysis

We design surveys to structurally and numerically grasp the driver elements for increasing "switches" and "loyalty," collect asking data, and then perform analysis.

Model building and simulation

We will construct a consumer behavior model and simulate the switch rate. Through this simulation, we will quantitatively evaluate how much each factor influences consumers' brand choices.

Consultation — Contact

Why is that product being chosen?

What insights can we glean from your existing survey data? We're happy to discuss design options with you.

Start consulting on data utilization and analysis.
Analysis Results

An example of CMM analysis output Patent pending

We convert complex consumer psychology into "numbers" and "structures" that can be used for decision-making and present them to you.

Identify numerically what you need to focus on to win

We visualize in a ranking format which elements (4P, CX, brand image) are most effective in switching customers from competitors/converting them into loyal customers.

This is the point

  • Calculating the "switch rate*" makes priorities clear
  • Identify the differences in effective "attack methods" against competitors A and B (Brand Switch Analysis)

*Switch rate: The percentage of people who switch/loyal when their survey response score increases by 1 point

Switch Element Ranking

Organizing "strengths to maintain" and "opportunities to exploit"

Plot elements on two axes: "your company's evaluation score" and "difference with competitors." This clarifies the "maintenance elements (critical success factors)" where you are already winning, and the "growth elements" where you are competing closely.

This is the point

  • At a glance, you can see where you should focus your investment resources
  • Avoid inefficient investments (which have already won or have little impact)
Switch element determination (vs. competition)

Clarifying the structure of brand choice

We identify not only the direct impact on consumer behavior, but also the "indirect effect" via a specific brand image, and structurally clarify which measures contribute to building brand assets.

This is the point

  • Identify the specific experiences and messages needed to increase brand loyalty and trust
  • The entire mechanism of measures → change in attitude → purchasing behavior can be quantified.
Clarifying the structure of brand choice
Case Study — Initiative

Collaboration with Megane Top Co., Ltd.
── Eyeglasses market

Collaboration between Megane Top Co., Ltd. and XICA

Situation

"Megane Ichiba" operates 1,063 stores nationwide.*The company, which operates in the market and holds the top market share in the industry, faced a challenge as its main customer base of 30-40 year olds shifted to older generations, making the acquisition of younger customers a key focus. Judging solely based on past successes would not allow them to determine what would work with this new customer base. Faced with market changes, they needed to objectively re-examine the factors that drive purchasing.

Approach

We separated the conditions for customers to choose our company over competitors (new customer acquisition) and the conditions for customers to continue choosing us (retention of churn), and analyzed them along two axes. We quantified the impact of each element of the 4Ps, CX, and brand assets on purchasing decisions by generation. By calculating the probability that consumers will act when a specific brand image improves, we have derived decision-making data that does not rely on intuition.

Outcome

What motivated younger generations was not price advantage, but rather unique value propositions tailored to the customer and a brand image shaped throughout the purchasing process.*By combining market importance with our company's competitive advantages, we were able to define the key points of what to communicate to which target audience and prioritize what message to convey.

The identified key drivers are now being disseminated throughout the company as a "common language" shared by everyone from management to stores. Objective support has been added to judgments based on experience and intuition, creating a foundation for data-driven discussions.

*Store count is as of March 2025. Specific analysis results and strategic policies are not publicly available, therefore, modified and masked expressions are used. Titles are as of the time of the interview.

Consultation — Contact

The premise for understanding the customer has not yet been confirmed.

There's a discrepancy between the scores and sales figures. We can help you clarify the issues from the very beginning, starting from that initial point of inconsistency.

Start consulting on data utilization and analysis.